Numbers preview: Rockets-Mavs


VIDEO: West Series Preview: Rockets – Mavericks

HANG TIME NEW JERSEY — The Southwest Division comprises more than half of the Western Conference playoff bracket. So two of them have to play each other.

The Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets both made changes to their roster in December, bringing the enigmatic Rajon Rondo and Josh Smith from the Eastern Conference. A month after they added Rondo to their mix, the Mavs were 30-13, a game ahead of the Rockets.

But things went downhill from there. The Mavs led the league in offensive efficiency at the time they traded for Rondo, but scored almost 10 fewer points per 100 possessions after the trade than they did before it. Their defense did improve some, but not enough to make up for the offensive drop-off.

The Rockets, meanwhile, survived a myriad of injuries to win the division and finish second in the West. They’re missing two starters and don’t have Dwight Howard at 100 percent, but have gotten by with a top-10 defense and an MVP candidate. That could be enough to get through an opponent that has had issues on both ends of the floor at one point or another.

Here are some statistical notes to get you ready for Rockets-Mavs, with links to let you dive in and explore more.

Pace = Possessions per 48 minutes
OffRtg = Points scored per 100 possessions
DefRtg = Points allowed per 100 possessions
NetRtg = Point differential per 100 possessions

Houston Rockets (56-26)

Pace: 99.3 (2)
OffRtg: 104.2 (12)
DefRtg: 100.5 (6)
NetRtg: +3.7 (6)

Overall: Team stats | Player stats | Lineups
vs. Dallas: Team stats | Player stats | Lineups

Rockets notes:

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Dallas Mavericks (50-32)

Pace: 97.4 (9)
OffRtg: 107.2 (5)
DefRtg: 103.7 (18)
NetRtg: +3.5 (8)

Overall: Team stats | Player stats | Lineups
vs. Houston: Team stats | Player stats | Lineups

Mavs notes:

The matchup

Season series: Rockets won 3-1 (2-0 in Houston).
Pace: 100.7
HOU OffRtg: 100.8 (19th vs. DAL)
DAL OffRtg: 97.9 (19th vs. HOU)

Matchup notes:

Numbers preview: Bulls-Bucks


VIDEO: East Series Preview: Bulls – Bucks

HANG TIME NEW JERSEY — There’s a lot of new blood at the top of the Eastern Conference. The teams that met in the conference finals each of the last two years failed to qualify for the postseason this year. And only one of the top six teams in the standings – Washington – won a playoff series last year.

The Milwaukee Bucks represent the new blood. They were in the postseason two years ago, but only one player – Ersan Ilyasova – remains from that roster. And the weakness of the Eastern Conference has allowed the Bucks to go from the worst record in the NBA to a No. 6 seed with 41 wins.

The Chicago Bulls were supposed to be one of the favorites in the East. But injuries and a drop-off on defense have resulted in a disappointing season. They have all their pieces back together for the postseason, but haven’t had the time to build much consistency on either end of the floor.

This promises to be the ugliest series of the first round. The two teams combined to score just 95 points per 100 possessions in their four regular season meetings.

Here are some statistical notes to get you ready for Bulls-Bucks, with links to let you dive in and explore more.

Pace = Possessions per 48 minutes
OffRtg = Points scored per 100 possessions
DefRtg = Points allowed per 100 possessions
NetRtg = Point differential per 100 possessions

Chicago Bulls (50-32)

Pace: 95.4 (21)
OffRtg: 104.7 (10)
DefRtg: 101.5 (11)
NetRtg: +3.3 (9)

Overall: Team stats | Player stats | Lineups
vs. Milwaukee: Team stats | Player stats | Lineups

Bulls notes:

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Milwaukee Bucks (41-41)

Pace: 96.5 (12)
OffRtg: 100.5 (25)
DefRtg: 99.3 (2)
NetRtg: +1.2 (14)

Overall: Team stats | Player stats | Lineups
vs. Chicago: Team stats | Player stats | Lineups

Bucks notes:

The matchup

Season series: Bulls won 3-1 (2-0 in Chicago).
Pace: 93.3
CHI OffRtg: 97.6 (17th vs. MIL)
MIL OffRtg: 91.8 (26th vs. CHI)

Matchup notes:

Numbers preview: Warriors-Pelicans


VIDEO: Series Preview: The Game Time crew previews the Pelicans vs. Warriors series.

HANG TIME NEW JERSEY — The Golden State Warriors are one of the best regular-season teams we’ve seen in a long time. They recorded the fourth best NetRtg (point differential per 100 possessions) of the last 38 years (since turnovers starting being counted in 1977) and were just the third team in that time to rank in the top two in both offensive and defensive efficiency.

But the Warriors are one of 11 playoff teams that didn’t win a series last year. And the hottest team in the league is the one that won four series a year ago. So, for as good as the Warriors have been, they’re not exactly a consensus pick to get to The Finals.

The New Orleans Pelicans weren’t exactly a consensus pick to make the playoffs when they were 3 1/2 games out of eighth place on March 26, with a tough schedule down the stretch. But they won eight of their last 11 games to edge out the Oklahoma City Thunder for the final playoff spot in the West.

The Warriors have won just two playoff series in the last 24 years. The Pelicans have won just one series since the franchise moved to New Orleans 13 years ago.

Here are some statistical notes to get you ready for Warriors-Pelicans, with links to let you dive in and explore more.

Pace = Possessions per 48 minutes
OffRtg = Points scored per 100 possessions
DefRtg = Points allowed per 100 possessions
NetRtg = Point differential per 100 possessions

Golden State Warriors (67-15)

Pace: 100.7 (1)
OffRtg: 109.7 (2)
DefRtg: 98.2 (1)
NetRtg: +11.4 (1)

Overall: Team stats | Player stats | Lineups
vs. New Orleans: Team stats | Player stats | Lineups

Warriors notes:

  • Outscored their opponents by 17.4 points per 100 possessions in the second quarter and by 14.9 in the third quarter. No other team had a NetRtg better than plus-12.7 in any quarter.
  • Set 40.4 ball screens per game, the fewest in the league, according to SportVU.
  • According to Synergy, Stephen Curry had an effective field goal percentage of 55.6 percent as a pick-and-roll ball-handler, the highest mark among 93 players who attempted 100 shots in those situations.
  • Went 47-0 after leading by 15 or more points. The only other teams that never lost after leading by 15-plus were non-playoff teams: Utah (22-0), Indiana (16-0) and Minnesota (6-0).
  • For the second straight season, Klay Thompson led the league in points per touch.
  • Curry and Thompson ranked first and second in 3-point attempts in the first six seconds of the shot clock, according to SportVU.

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New Orleans Pelicans (45-37)

Pace: 93.7 (27)
OffRtg: 105.4 (9)
DefRtg: 104.7 (22)
NetRtg: +0.7 (14)

Overall: Team stats | Player stats | Lineups
vs. Golden State: Team stats | Player stats | Lineups

Pelicans notes:

The matchup

Season series: Warriors won 3-1 (2-0 at Golden State).
Pace: 100.3
GSW OffRtg: 110.7 (8th vs. NOP)
NOP OffRtg: 97.9 (16th vs. GSW)

Matchup notes:

Numbers preview: Raptors-Wizards


VIDEO: Series Preview: Wizards – The Game Time crew previews the Wizards vs. Raptors series.

HANG TIME NEW JERSEY — From 46-15 through Dec. 29 to 49-54 thereafter, the Toronto Raptors and Washington Wizards combined for a collective, second-half swoon that probably doesn’t have either fan base feeling great about their season.

The Raptors ranked 23rd defensively after Dec. 29, while the Wizards ranked 23rd on offense. But the playoffs provide an opportunity to start fresh and maybe take advantage of an opponent that’s been similarly mediocre.

Neither team has been mediocre on the other end of the floor. In fact, this is one of two first round series (Clippers-Spurs is the other) that pits a top-five offense against a top-five defense.

Here are some statistical notes to get you ready for Raptors-Wizards, with links to let you dive in and explore more.

Pace = Possessions per 48 minutes
OffRtg = Points scored per 100 possessions
DefRtg = Points allowed per 100 possessions
NetRtg = Point differential per 100 possessions

Toronto Raptors (49-33)

Pace: 95.4 (20)
OffRtg: 108.1 (3)
DefRtg: 104.8 (23)
NetRtg: +3.2 (10)

Overall: Team stats | Player stats | Lineups
vs. Washington: Team stats | Player stats | Lineups

Raptors notes:

  • The only team that ranked in the top 10 in defensive efficiency last season and the bottom 10 this season.
  • Outscored their opponents by only 0.8 points per 100 possessions in 2,299 minutes with three or more (of their regular) starters on the floor, but were a plus-7.0 per 100 possessions in 1,671 minutes with two or fewer starters on the floor.
  • 39.4 percent of the Raptors’ jump shots were contested, according to SportVU. That rate ranked second to only the Lakers (42.4 percent).
  • Jonas Valanciunas was one of two players that shot better than 50 percent on at least 200 shots on post-ups, according to Synergy play-type data. The other one is also Lithuanian.
  • Among players who came off of at least 200 ball screens, Terrence Ross was the second most likely to shoot. According to SportVU, he shot 46 percent of the time as a pick-and-roll ball-handler, a mark that trailed only Nick Young (48 percent).
  • According to SportVU, Lou Williams led the league with 102 fouls drawn on jump shots. DeMar DeRozan ranked third with 85.

Washington Wizards (46-36)

Pace: 96.0 (16)
OffRtg: 101.8 (19)
DefRtg: 100.0 (5)
NetRtg: +1.9 (12)

Overall: Team stats | Player stats | Lineups
vs. Toronto: Team stats | Player stats | Lineups

Wizards notes:

20150416_tor_was_bench

The matchup

Season series: Raptors won 3-0 (2-0 in Toronto).
Pace: 95.3
TOR OffRtg: 107.0 (6th vs. WAS)
WAS OffRtg: 99.6 (24th vs. TOR)

Matchup notes:

HGH testing, added in NBA/union joint effort, among topics at Board of Govs

NEW YORK – The agenda items at the NBA Board of Governors meeting Thursday and Friday pales, on the excitement scale, next to the start of the league’s 2015 playoffs this weekend. A lot of business-as-usual is on the table, including updates on the potential sale of the Atlanta Hawks and arena developments in Milwaukee, San Francisco and Sacramento.

But one topic sure to generate conversation when NBA commissioner Adam Silver meets with reporters Friday afternoon was the joint announcement by the league and the National Basketball Players Association that blood testing for human growth hormone (HGH) would be added to the anti-drug program starting with next season.

As far back as the 2011 lockout, during the protracted collective bargaining talks, the union and the owners agreed to a process for determining how HGH blood testing would be implemented. That process hit a snag, however – first former commissioner David Stern and then Silver explained that the NBPA’s search for an executive director to replace Billy Hunter precluded further progress on the matter.

With Michele Roberts‘ hiring as NBPA chief in July, however, the work resumed.

Under the plan announced Thursday, beginning with the start of 2015 NBA training camps, all NBA players will be subject to three random, unannounced HGH tests annually (two in-season, one off-season). Players also will be subject to reasonable-cause testing for HGH.

Any player who tests positive would be suspended for 20 games for his first violation and 45 games after his second. A third violation would result in the player being dismissed and disqualified from the NBA.

Among other BOG business, the owners will see a presentation on expansion efforts into youth basketball. Competition-related topics such as scheduling improvements, conference alignment and playoff qualification also was likely to be discussed. Silver has gone on record as wanting to eliminate as many “four in five nights” scheduling challenges as possible to ease players’ workloads, possibly reduce injuries and provide for better competition between more-rested participants.

After the annual spring meeting Friday, the NBA will conduct its tiebreaking process to determine teams’ orders heading toward the May 19 draft lottery.

Report: Thunder plan to evaluate coach Brooks’ future with team

NBA.com staff reports

Back in 2008, the Oklahoma City Thunder opened their debut season in Oklahoma under coach P.J. Carlesimo. But after a 1-12 start to 2008-09, he was fired and his then-assistant, Scott Brooks, took over the helm. Since then, Brooks has been the man who has seen the Thunder rise from bottom-dweller in the Western Conference to NBA Finalist and a regular winner of the Northwest Division title.

Yet Brooks has not been without his critics and perhaps the Thunder missing the playoffs will cause those rumbles to begin again. According to Adrian Wojnarowski of Yahoo Sports, the Thunder plan to evaluate Brooks’ contract and future with the team soon:

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to spend time evaluating the partnership with coach Scott Brooks before committing to bring him back for the final year on his contract, league sources told Yahoo Sports.

Brooks is guaranteed for the 2015-16 season on his deal, with the Thunder holding a team option for 2016-17, sources told Yahoo Sports.

Oklahoma City missed the playoffs for the first time in six years on Wednesday, finishing 45-37 with superstar Kevin Durant lost for most of the year. Thunder general manager Sam Presti has to decide an organizational direction for the final year of Durant’s contract, and that will include a decision about whether Brooks is ultimately the coach most capable of delivering a healthy Thunder roster to a championship. Brooks is well liked within the organization and has forged close relationships with management and players in his seven years as head coach.

Several league sources close to Brooks have doubts about his job security.

If a change comes, University of Florida coach Billy Donovan could emerge as a serious candidate to coach Oklahoma City, league sources said. Presti has a longstanding friendship with Donovan, a two-time national championship coach who has been open about his interest in moving to the NBA.

 

Bad Seed: Spurs crash to No. 6


VIDEO: Pelicans beat Spurs, drop San Antonio to No. 6 seed

If the great philosopher Yogi Berra were on hand, he might have trotted out one of his classic lines: “It’s deja vu all over again.”

Remember when the Spurs let the 2013 NBA crown slip through their fingers and crash to the floor in the final seconds of Game 6.

Well, the stakes weren’t quite so high this time, but the defending champs still treated the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference like a greased pig and, as a result, will open the playoffs on the road for only the second time in the Tim Duncan Era.

The Spurs touched down in New Orleans Wednesday night with a No. 2 slot and the Southwest Division title within their reach. But they flamed out in a 108-103 loss to the Pelicans that sent San Antonio crashing all the way down to the No. 6 seed.

As a result, rather than being guaranteed home-court advantage in at least the first two rounds, the Spurs will open the playoffs in Los Angeles on Sunday against the No. 3 seeded Clippers.

The Spurs had picked themselves off the floor by winning 21 of their previous 24 games and 11 in a row as the took the court in the Big Easy. But the veteran club with the high class pedigree looked under motivated and was outplayed from the start by the Pelicans team that clinched a playoff berth with the win. New Orleans slipped in as the No. 8 seed and will face Golden State.

The Pelicans built a 23-point lead in the second quarter, led by 16 at the half and held on down the stretch after the Spurs cut the lead to five midway through the fourth quarter and to 104-101 in the final seconds.

Maybe the Spurs were overdue for a slip-up or maybe they simply ran out of gas after the late finishing kick over the past six weeks. But long before they arrived in New Orleans, the reigning champs had given themselves virtually no margin for error by losing to the likes of the lowly Knicks, Pistons and Kings in a regular season that they would now most definitely like to forget.

As Yogi might also have said, it got late early for the Spurs this season.

George carried off court in finale

VIDEO: Paul George injures leg at Memphis.

It was certainly painful enough for the Pacers to find themselves down by double-digits in the fourth quarter of a do-or-die game for their playoff lives.

But was a different level of scary agony to see franchise player Paul George carried off the court again with a leg injury.

It occurred with 10:37 left in the season finale at Memphis on Wednesday night when George simply pulled up to commit a foul and signaled that he needed to leave the court.

Several teammates helped George from the floor — literally lifting both legs off the ground — and he was examined by the training staff on the bench.

It was not clear where exactly the injury occurred. In the previous minute, George had cut across the lane and bumped his left side against Grizzlies center Kosta Koufos and a short time later he was tangled with Vince Carter while trying for a rebound.

The good news, if there is such a thing, is that it was the left leg that was injured this time. George had suffered a broken right leg in a Team USA scrimmage last August in Las Vegas. The Pacers described this injury as a sore left calf.

“Nothing serious,” Coach Frank Vogel said. “He got kicked pretty strongly in his calf and it caused a calf strain.”

George was playing in just his sixth game following a long rehabilitation, averaging 10.2 points and 3.6 rebound and had played 15 minutes, shot just 1-for-5 and had two points when he left the game and did not return.

Westbrook gets scoring title, not playoffs


VIDEO: Thunder guard Russell Westbrook nets 34 points in first half at Minnesota.

All things considered, Russell Westbrook would have rather the situation had been reversed.

While the Thunder wonder poured in 37 points Wednesday night to keep the NBA scoring title in the family, it wasn’t enough to lift injury-plagued Oklahoma City into the playoffs.

Meanwhile the man he beat out for the crown — ex-teammate James Harden — got the bigger payoff as his Rockets used a win over Utah to claim their first division title in 21 years and jumped up to the No. 2 seed in the final Western Conference standings.

Westbrook’s 28.1 points per game average finally closed out the race with Harden, who finished at 27.4 ppg after playing the role of facilitator in the regular season finale, hanging up his fourth triple-double of the year with 16 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists.

Coming after the title by Thunder teammate Kevin Durant, Westbrook’s feat marks the fifth time in the last six seasons that the scoring crown will reside in OKC.

But it also was the end of five straight playoff seasons for the Thunder.

In season when the Thunder were constantly hamstrung by injuries to Durant, Serge Ibaka and himself, Westbrook waged what at times seemed like a one-man battle through the last month of the season in an attempt to get OKC into the post-season. But the Thunder lost out for the final spot in the West by tie-breaker to the Pelicans.

Since Durant was the scoring champion last season, Westbrook’s taking the crown this season was a rarity. It was the first time since 1952 and 1953 when Paul Arizin and Neil Johnston of the Philadelphia Warriors that teammates claimed the title back-to-back.

Westbrook became the first point guard to lead the NBA in scoring average since Philly’s Allen Iverson’s  three times, the last in 2005. Hall of Famer Tiny Archibald did it in 1973 and the great Oscar Robertson  in 1968. Dave Bing  was the official scoring champ in 1968, based on total points scored.  The method for determining the official scoring champion was changed from total to scoring average in the 1968-69 season.

In addition, Westbrooks career-high 8.6 assists per game is the highest per-game figure since Archibald led the league in both categories in 1973, averaging 34 points and 11 assists.

League announces partial Game 1 schedule

Wednesday night’s final regular season games will resolve which teams will qualify for the final spots in the playoffs and where teams will be seeded.

In anticipation of the start of the NBA playoffs this weekend, the league has announced a partial schedule of Game 1s. Game times will be determined later.

Saturday

Washington at Toronto, ESPN

Milwaukee at Chicago, ESPN

New Orleans at Golden State, ABC/ESPN Radio

Sunday 

Brooklyn at Atlanta, TNT

Boston at Cleveland, ABC/ESPN Radio

Additional scheduling information, including game times, will be furnished after the conclusion of tonight’s games consistent with the need to fulfill league obligations.