Another Look: The 2010 Draft Do-Over!



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HANG TIME HEADQUARTERS – Once you’ve acknowledged the NBA Draft for the inexact science that it has been, is and forever will be, it makes looking back at past Drafts much easier.

You won’t be nearly as upset with the president or general manager of your favorite team when you glance back at a Draft and recognize just how many more misses there are than hits. Many guys pegged as future stars are barely holding on to starting spots just three or four seasons into their careers.

The hit-or-miss rate in the lottery is pretty staggering from year to year, especially when you consider the amount of financial and human resources teams spend on their Draft preparation. For every LeBron James or Derrick Rose as No. 1 overall picks and future MVPs, there is a Greg Oden or Andrea Bargnani to balance the scales — guys who for whatever reason simply are not able to live up to where they were drafted. And it goes on and on like that down each Draft board.

Most players only get two or three seasons to prove they are going to be a player to be reckoned with. Rookie deals are shorter these days, so the only way to curb the uncertainty is for a player to produce immediately. Three seasons of work is a quality sample in most cases.

Take the 2010 Draft class as Exhibit A. As of this morning, only two members of the class have extensions of their rookie deals: Washington’s John Wall and Milwaukee’s Larry Sanders are set. Indiana All-Star Paul George is a sure bet to get something worked out before the Halloween deadline and the Sacramento Kings would be wise to figure out their future with DeMarcus Cousins. But beyond those names, it’s unclear if anyone else in this class will be smiling when trick-or-treat season rolls around.

In the meantime, we’re going to examine the lottery selections from 2010 and unveil our the first in a series of our Hang Time Draft Do-Overs (lottery picks only), based on what we know now. Too bad the teams who made the original selections couldn’t do it this way.

Hang Time’s 2010 Draft Do-Over

Pick, Player, Position, College (where they were originally picked in 2010 Draft)

1. Paul George, SF, Fresno State (No. 10 by Indiana)

One of the brightest young stars in the league, George made his case for the top spot with a mercurial rise in his first three seasons that culminated with an All-Star nod last season and by battling LeBron James inch-for-inch in an epic seven-game Eastern Conference finals last season. It was a remarkable star turn for a player casual fans had barely heard of on Draft night.

2. John Wall, PG, Kentucky (No. 1 by Washington)

Plagued by uncertainty and a somewhat suspect supporting cast early on, Wall came on in the second half of the 2012-13 season. He shook off the after effects of knee surgery and played at an All-Star level in the Wizards’ final 49 games. He was the first member of the class to cash in with a five-year, $80 million extension earlier this month.

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3. DeMarcus Cousins, C, Kentucky (No. 5 by Sacramento)

Cousins has had more than his share of issues, on and off the court, but his raw talent remains undeniable. Whether or not he has the desire and work ethic to become the All-Star big man his talent suggests, however, also remains in question. Being dominant in flashes is not a sufficient existence for a player with his talent.

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4. Larry Sanders, PF, Virginia Commonwealth (No. 15 by Milwaukee)

Sanders was undervalued on Draft night, but you couldn’t tell by his first two underwhelming seasons with the Bucks. But he came alive last season, turning in a season worthy of the Defensive Player of the Year consideration he received and finally becoming the consistent force his abilities suggested he should be. The Bucks rewarded him with that $44 million extension.

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5. Greg Monroe, PF, Georgetown (No. 7 by Detroit)

Monroe isn’t as physically dominant as either Cousins, Sanders or Derrick Favors, but there’s a good chance he could end up being the most polished and productive big man in this class. He quickly developed into a low-post anchor for the Pistons and will now get the chance to work alongside Josh Smith and Andre Drummond as the franchise moves back into the playoff picture.

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6. Avery Bradley, SG, Texas (No. 19 by Boston)

Undersized as a shooting guard at the NBA level, Bradley saw his stock dip on Draft night. It was a foolish assessment by many, because Bradley has evolved into one an absolute lock-down defender at his position and one of the best perimeter defenders in the league. It will be interesting to see if he continues to improve under coach Brad Stevens the way he did under coach Doc Rivers.

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7.  Derrick Favors, PF, Georgia Tech (No. 3 by New Jersey)

Favors had to play behind veterans Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap after being traded to Utah. It was probably the best thing that could have happened to him, too. Now that those veteran bigs have moved on via free agency, Favors will become the low-post anchor for the Jazz. He’ll become the walking double-double he should be now that he’ll have an expanded role.

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8. Gordon Hayward, SG, Butler (No. 9 by Utah)

Hayward has improved as much as anyone in the class between Draft night and this summer. He stood out among the young stars assembled in Las Vegas last month for the U.S. Men’s National Team’s mini-camp. A young Jazz team in need of leadership will get a solid boost in that department, and others, from Hayward.

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9. Eric Bledsoe, PG, Kentucky (No. 18 by Oklahoma City)

John Calipari was operating with an absolute embarrassment of point guard riches with Wall and Bledsoe on the roster at Kentucky together. Bledsoe had limited opportunities in 38 starts in three seasons with the Los Angeles Clippers. Traded to Phoenix this summer, he should thrive now that he won’t be overshadowed by Chris Paul.

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10. Greivis Vasquez, PG, Maryland (No. 28 by Memphis)

A solid back up in Memphis, Vasquez proved himself to be a capable starter in two years in New Orleans and will try to do the same in Sacramento this season. With his size, savvy and fearlessness in the clutch, it’s hard to see how many teams missed on the former ACC star on Draft night.

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11. Evan Turner, SF, Ohio State (No. 2 by Philadelphia)

Turner has been a solid pro in his first three seasons, but the No. 2 pick in any Draft needs to be much more than solid. The Big Ten Player of the Year in college, Turner struggled to find his fit early on with the Sixers. But he blossomed in his third season playing alongside All-Star point guard Jrue Holiday, who was traded away this summer.

12. Ed Davis, PF, North Carolina (No. 13 by Toronto) 

It was understood that Davis was going to be a project, a guy with fantastic long-term potential that might not be realized until his fourth or fifth season in the league. So he’s right on target heading into his fourth season, his first full season in Memphis. Davis is still coming into his own physically and just needs more time.

13. Quincy Pondexter, SF, Washington (No. 26 by Oklahoma City)

A quality role player from the moment he set foot in the league, Pondexter carved out a nice spot for himself in the Grizzlies’ rotation over the past two seasons. While he’s not necessarily a future star, Pondexter is one of those players who should spend the next decade or so playing a significant role for whatever team(s) he’s on.

14. Lance Stephenson, SG, Cincinnati (No. 40 by Indiana)

Stephenson had a lottery grade coming out of high school but saw his stick drop dramatically after one season at Cincinnati. He’s still wildly inconsistent and was a flat-out liability at times against the Heat during the Eastern Conference finals. But Larry Bird saw something in him on Draft night and continues to believe in his ability to contribute on a championship-caliber Pacers team.

38 Comments

  1. Lenard says:

    Thanks , I’ve just been searching for information about this subject for a while and yours is the greatest I’ve came upon so far. However, what in regards to the conclusion? Are you positive about the source?

  2. Zack says:

    All These Guys Are Underated

  3. jon jon says:

    Avery Bradley is way too high on this list. He’s a great defender but you got to be able to create your own shot and he cant do that better than Bledsoe, Hayward, and Turner

  4. Kamote says:

    The league is always wing-heavy thats why PGs and Cs are always picked ahead (Wall over George, Oden over KD, Hakeem over MJ etc.), unless a phenom is coming (eg. LBJ).

    George, with his mad skills, also benefited of not having the pressure to carry a team in his first year. Playing in a good system, and behind Granger and Hibbert, has helped him develop his game more without the pressure of being heavily guarded (remember how Kobe got his swag playing w/ Shaq and Eddie Jones before he became a prolific scorer?). And Indiana, as an organization, is one of the competitive teams to date. Still, kudos to PG for his meteoric rise.

    Wall on the other hand has to deal with the after-Arenas era, has young team mates (Javale, Blatche, Young), but still has to carry his team. Hopefully he’d be able to live up with his #1 billing now that Washington is trying to make a team out of the rubble years ago.

  5. loco says:

    @ vincent: paul george WAS the first option for indiana this year and led them to the east finals and to john wall i have to say that i`m not sure if a point guard should be the first option, especially with his jumper
    @sekou: nice idea, but you should have taken a look at team`s rosters and their needs at that time.

  6. Dcon says:

    If the jazz took George at #9 people would not be enamored with him as they are now…all thanks to Mr. Jefferson. That dude is a black-hole! Thankfully he is gone and Hayward can shine now…he will be an all-star soon, mark my words!

    • jon jon says:

      Big Al almost led yal to playoffs putting up big #s in the end of last seasonbut he is one of the worst post defenders in basketball

  7. I can understand the argument for Paul George at #1 but in the end, John Wall has to be the first pick. George is an utterly talented dude who defends like a menace and is fearless offensively. The problem is: he’s not offensively good enough to be the first option. If he were a second or, even better, third option he would be amazing.

    Wall meanwhile has struggled in some aspects of the games, most notably shooting and defense. But this kid can just flat out play. With added pieces in Washington, I look for him to go all out this season and continue to grow into an All-Star.

    On top, I’ll take Greg Monroe over Larry Sanders any day of the week. Monroe is such a polished player. Sanders is all about D, which comes in handy, but he’s too limited for me to put him over Monroe and Favors.

    Final note: Gordon Hayward rocks.

  8. I said it says:

    Paul George is a superstar!!! Pacers game plan is to give the ball down low to Roy Hibbert. What the pacers should of done was let Paul George shoot and let Roy rebound + put back. It would of been like Kobe and Shaq. Heat cannot rebound!

  9. zgillet says:

    Wall over George. (Think of Indiana with Granger and Wall)
    Monroe over Sanders and Cousins.
    Favors over Bradley.

  10. Bears says:

    No Wes Johnson? KHAAAAAAAAANNNNNNN!

  11. Daniel says:

    Gordon Hayward will have a break out year this year along with Favors. I expect both of them to be borderline all stars within the next 2 years.

    • Dcon says:

      agreed….People love to hate on the jazz and they’re consistently being ovelooked. Hayward gets no respect and people are already pinning the “bust” label on Favors and Kanter….it is pretty pitiful. I cannot wait for the jazz this season! They’re gonna lose, but they’re going to learn how to win together. The starting 5 of Burke, Burks, Hayward, Favors and Kanter just gets me excited!
      :)

  12. Daniel Cunningham says:

    em…What about that Asian-American who wasnt even drafted and is now a starting PG for a team that made it to the playoff?
    Maybe not in the top 10 but I guess most team would pick him over Pondexter??

  13. isiah_thomas says:

    How many allstars we’d have from that list ? We have one already in Paul George.
    Possible future all-stars: John Wall, De Marcus Cousins. Favors maybe ? Possibly ? A PF spot in the west ? Doubtful. A pretty below the average draft I guess.

  14. Theo says:

    are we serious? Where is jimmy jimpun butler? he has proved through the last season that he is now a key player for the bulls success!! a contender! and we are arguing about players that are mediocre in mediocre teams , but with great potential! better stop reading sekou’s articles.

    • #BullsFAnDAN says:

      We drafter Jimmy in the 2011 draft. This article is about the 2010 draft. But I agree that Jimmy is already better than most of the lottery picks in both drafts. He is a future allstar. Go Bulls!

  15. John Starks says:

    Avery Bradley the most overrated player in the NBA.

  16. J says:

    great article!!!!! just brilliant!!!

  17. Eric Skinner says:

    PG for MVP. He’s been my favorite player since he was a rookie. Reggie Miller wasn’t kidding when he said we are seeing a superstar in the making as he dunked over the birdman, driving past Lebron in the process. Hate on folks, but PG will be an MVP someday.

  18. Jumppong says:

    Al-Farouq Aminu and his face.. must be the number one first pick in 2010 draft

  19. Mark says:

    Turner’s so underrated

    • Dany says:

      Well he didn’t produce as expected his first two seasons, but he is a grinder and i truly believe that he will just keep on getting better and better. Just wait 1-2 years and come back to watch the Philly monster team :)

  20. Shawn K says:

    Paul George, future MVP!!!!

    • Kevin S says:

      Not while LeBron James, Kevin Durant and Tony Parker are in the league. But thanks for coming out.

      • pistonsfan says:

        Lebron and Kevin okay, but Parker will never be MVP of this league. Paul George has a way better chance than him. Even Westbrook or Kyrie are more of an MVP caliber in the future.

  21. Bruce GB says:

    The order is wrong because they are not team relevant going with the needs at the time. This is just a ranking of the draft. Minnesota at 4 would not have taken Larry Sanders when they had Kevin Love. They’d have gone with Avery Bradley who, ironically, they’d probably kill for right now!!

  22. two says:

    I’d still take john wall over paul george

  23. Jay says:

    i would take favors over Monroe and sanders , kid hasnt even played starter minutes and is already better than both, his numbers would be 18pts and 13rbs and 2.0 blocks if he played starters minutes

    • Jacob says:

      13 rebs r u serious that would lead the league what has he done to make u think he can do.that he.couldnt over take milsap for a starter lmao

      • Daniel says:

        His Per 36 rebounding has been 11 rebounds the last two games. I will be surprised if he averages 13 rebounds per game.

      • Dcon says:

        You must not be a jazz fan…both Kanter and Favors out-played Millsap and Jefferson (favors more so) and the only reason they didn’t start was because Ty wanted to keep the locker-room. If you start the young guys over the vets (the team was split down the middle with youth and vets) than you lose the locker-room. Simple as that. Favors was better than Millsap last year. Hayward and Favors should be 3 and 4, but that is my opinion….they’re much better than most people think.

      • TrueNBAFan says:

        Favors was NOT better then Millsap last season, far from it. Favors had 1 great game last season, the rest he wallowed away even when he was given big minutes, Corbin split the minutes up between Millsap and Favors last season, it’s not like Millsap was playing twice as much as Favors, it was only 7 minutes more (Millsap 30 mpg, Favors 23 mpg). Kanter showed a LOT more promise then Favors. That being said, 13 rpg is doable by Favors without Millsap or Jefferson around… but rebounding isn’t what Favors is gonna be huge at… Favors is a shot blocker, a skill that only Ibaka is superior to him in.

  24. Andrew Decker says:

    STOP Sent from my iPhone