Analytics Art: Why Towns is dominating Rookie of Year chase


VIDEO: Karl-Anthony Towns named February’s Rookie of the Month

By Ben Leibowitz, Special to NBA.com

Minnesota Timberwolves No. 1 overall pick Karl-Anthony Towns has established himself as perhaps the most clear-cut favorite to claim the 2016 Kia Rookie of the Year Award. And while New York Knicks rookie Kristaps Porzingis made things interesting early on — and gained a cult following in the Big Apple — the consistent play from Towns has made him a lock for the trophy.

All season, Towns has stuffed the box score, amassing 39 double-doubles to lead all rookies in that department by a massive margin. He has more than twice as many double-doubles as the No. 2 player, Porzingis.

In fact, Towns is 6th in the NBA in double-doubles (39) — behind Andre Drummond, Russell Westbrook, DeAndre Jordan, DeMarcus Cousins and John Wall. From Jan. 25 through Feb. 19, Towns rattled off 10 straight double-doubles in a stretch of reliability rarely seen from a rookie.

Of course, Towns’ numbers go far beyond comparisons to All-Star-caliber players in the game today. By averaging at least 17 points, 10 rebounds, 1.5 assists and 1.5 blocks this season, Towns would become the first rookie since 1999-2000 — and sixth in NBA history — to post those figures.

Those numbers put Towns in company with former MVPs. Finals MVPs and championship-winners (Shaquille O’Neal, Tim Duncan and David Robinson) as well with two former All-Stars (Ralph Sampson and Elton Brand).

But while you could argue Towns’ scoring figures are inflated because of his role on a rebuilding roster, that’s simply not true. The big man has been masterfully efficient, shooting 54.5 percent overall — and 34.4 percent on 3-pointers — while shooting at above league-average rates from mid-range all season.

There’s little doubt Towns has the inside track to win Rookie of the Year Award. As the stats above show not-so-subtly, his coronation is near an absolute certainty. The Timberwolves have a new face of their franchise. The challenge now will be surrounding him with the right pieces to compete in the Western Conference.

This article was originally published on PointAfter, a partner of NBA.com.

Ben Leibowitz (https://twitter.com/BenLebo) is a writer for PointAfter (http://www.pointafter.com), a sports data aggregation and visualization website that’s part of the Graphiq network (http://www.graphiq.com). Visit PointAfter to get all the information about NBA Players (http://basketball-players.pointafter.com)NBA Historical Teams (http://nba-historical-teams.pointafter.com) and dozens of other topics.

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