One Team, One Stat: Ugly O in Philly


VIDEO: Schuhmann’s Advanced Stats: Philadelphia 76ers

NBA.com’s John Schuhmann gets you ready for the 2015-16 season with a key stat for each team in the league and shows you why it matters. Today, we look at the Philadelphia 76ers, who had the worst offense we’ve seen in a long time.

The stat

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The context

20151014_phi_basicsThe last team that was more than 10 points per 100 possessions worse than the league average was the 2002-03 Denver Nuggets, featuring Junior Harrington and Donnell Harvey. Last year’s Sixers rank as the fourth worst offense of the last *38 years, ahead of only those Nuggets (-11.8), the ’87-88 Clippers (-10.2), and the ’99-00 Bulls (-10.1).

*Since the league starting counting turnovers in 1977.

Anything less than a point per possession is bad offense. And Philly scored less than a point per possession in 61 of its 82 games. The Sixers had the league’s highest turnover rate and ranked 29th in effective field goal percentage.

The reason they ranked higher than the Charlotte Hornets in effective field goal percentage is because the Sixers took the right kinds of shots. Only the Houston Rockets took a higher percentage of their shots from the restricted area or 3-point range.

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But the Sixers shot at a bottom-five rate from every area of the floor.

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The Sixers had three good 3-point shooters

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And they had several bad ones…

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The Sixers had one of the league’s most improved defenses last season, rising from 27th in defensive efficiency (in ’13-14) to 13th. Given how many shots they missed and how many turnovers they committed, it’s rather remarkable how good they were defensively (top-10 as late as April 1). Maybe Brett Brown deserved a Coach of the Year vote or two.

The Philly offense did improve after the All-Star break, when Michael Carter-Williams took his poor shooting and 4.2 turnovers per game to Milwaukee. But even after the break, Philly was 7.2 points per 100 possessions below the league average in offensive efficiency, ranking 28th in effective field goal percentage and 27th in in turnover rate.

This year’s Sixers have no choice but to get better offensively. They were so bad last season that they could improve as much as last year’s Cavs did offensively (+6.4 points scored per 100 possessions) and still rank in the bottom five in offensive efficiency.

No. 3 pick Jahlil Okafor gives the Sixers’ offense a focal point. They still have Covington and Thompson. They added another shooter in Nik Stauskas, though he’ll need to be better than he was as a rookie (32.2 percent from 3-point range) in Sacramento.

There appears to be a big hole at point guard, but the guy filling that hole for now — Isaiah Canaan — is better for their offense than Carter Williams was. He had a much lower turnover rate than MCW last season and was the only player to shoot better than Stephen Curry on at least 100 pull-up 3-pointers.

A rookie, a second-year guy who didn’t shoot well as a rookie, and a undersized point guard aren’t a lot to count on. But the Sixers are obviously taking baby steps back toward relevance. They have a long way to go, but they have nowhere to go but up, especially on the offensive end of the floor.

Pace = Possessions per 48 minutes
OffRtg = Points scored per 100 possessions
DefRtg = Points allowed per 100 possessions
NetRtg = Point differential per 100 possessions

One Comment

  1. Iverson4Lyf says:

    Sixers team needs to jot down notes on this. Once they get their offensive act together, they will be formidable up and coming contenders for the next decade.