One Team, One Stat: Magic Missed Big Baby

From Media Day until opening night, NBA.com’s John Schuhmann will provide a key stat for each team in the league and show you, with film and analysis, why it matters. Up next is the Orlando Magic, who, after a decent start, sunk like a stone to the league’s worst record in the league last season.

The basics
ORL Rank
W-L 20-62 30
Pace 94.5 14
OffRtg 98.9 27
DefRtg 106.7 25
NetRtg -7.8 29

The stat

98.8 - Points per 100 possessions allowed by the Magic defense through Dec. 19.

The context

Does anyone remember that the Magic were 12-13 (ninth in the Eastern Conference) through their first 25 games last season? The key to that solid start was the sixth-ranked defense in the league. But from Dec. 20 on, the Magic went 8-49 and ranked 30th defensively, allowing 110.2 points per 100 possessions.

So what happened on Dec. 19? Glen Davis sprained his left shoulder and was lost for 11 games. He returned for nine games in January, but then broke his left foot and was done for the season.

Davis isn’t exactly Kevin Garnett when it comes to defense. He’s not as mobile, he’s not as intense and he’s not as vocal. Nobody is.

But Davis did spend four seasons learning from KG in Boston. And compared to the rest of Orlando’s roster, he has a ton of experience. That can go a long way when it’s time to defend a pick-and-roll…


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The Magic’s strength of schedule wasn’t great in those first 25 games, but they did beat Denver, the Lakers (on the road) and Golden State twice, allowing the Warriors (who finished with the 10th best offense in the league) to score just 96 points per 100 possessions in the two games.

Much was made of the offensive production of some of the Magic’s young players in the second half of the season. There’s a lot of promise in guys like Tobias Harris, Maurice Harkless, Andrew Nicholson and Nikola Vucevic.

But over the last 57 games of the season, their team defense was absolutely dreadful. They didn’t defend the paint or the 3-point line very well, and they barely forced any turnovers.

It shouldn’t be any surprise that their defense in those first couple of months was at its best, allowing just 95.5 points per 100 possessions, with Davis on the floor with fellow vets Jameer Nelson and Arron Afflalo. The trio missed a total of 92 games last season.

Davis isn’t yet 100 percent recovered from foot surgery and the Magic are going to take their time with him. He told the Orlando Sentinel this week that his foot “will never be the same.”

His absence will likely keep them from being a decent defensive team at the start of the season. But if he can somehow come back at close to 100 percent, he could certainly spark an improvement and make Orlando much less of a walkover for opponents looking to pad their record.

Pace = Possessions per 48 minutes
OffRtg = Points scored per 100 possessions
DefRtg = Points allowed per 100 possessions
NetRtg = Point differential per 100 possessions

4 Comments

  1. brains! says:

    vucevic and tobias harris from trade right? nice one!

  2. Sarj says:

    The Orlando Magic’s win against the Lakers was huge because that was Dwight’s old team. Of course, it’s going to be an important game for Orlando to win in.

  3. ko0kiE says:

    really.. they beat the lakers last year? and that’s somehow mentionable?

    • Ronnie says:

      The lakers made the playoffs, have Kobe (an MVP and 5 time champ) Nash (2 time MVP), had a 3 time DPOY and a bunch of allstars, so yes, for a team that only won 20 games, beating stacked playoff teams is mentionable.