Draft Comparisons: Davis, Robinson, Beal & Kidd-Gilchrist

HANG TIME NEW JERSEY — As Draft time rolls around and we learn about the next class of NBA rookies, there’s a desire to compare each to players we’re already familiar with.

No two players are exactly alike and some players are more unique than others. But you can find comparisons by watching video, crunching stats or matching measurements. For this exercise, we did the latter two.

Listed below are four of the top picks, along with the current NBA players they compare with most. For this exercise, we looked at 10 stats from each player’s last season in college, and eight measurements taken at the annual pre-draft combine.

Because we used college numbers and combine numbers, the only current players we could compare this year’s prospects to were the ones who played in college (so no LeBron James or Dwight Howard) and participated in the combine since 2000 (Rajon Rondo is one notable name missing in that respect).

The following comparisons aren’t gospel, of course, but they’re one way to get read for the draft on Thursday (7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN).

Anthony Davis, PF, Kentucky

Statistical comparisons
1. Tyrus Thomas, LSU, 2006
2. Hasheem Thabeet, UConn, 2009
3. Shelden Williams, Duke, 2005

Thomas compared with Davis pretty well across the board, statistically. Thabeet came closest to matching Davis’ blocks, and Williams matched Davis well on the glass.

Measurement comparisons*
1. David West, Xavier, 2003
2. Chris Bosh, Georgia Tech, 2003
3. JaJuan Johnson, Purdue, 2011

*Davis didn’t participate in a few of the agility drills, so there was less data to compare him with than there was for other ’12 prospects.

West had close to the same standing reach and body fat numbers as Davis, and was also close in weight.

Stats + measurement comparisons
1. Taj Gibson, USC, 2009
2. Tyrus Thomas, LSU, 2006
3. Chris Bosh, Georgia Tech, 2003
4. Cole Aldrich, Kansas, 2010
5. Greg Oden, Ohio State, 2007

Thomas Robinson, PF, Kansas

Statistical comparisons
1. Drew Gooden, Kansas, 2002
2. Jordan Williams, Maryland, 2011
3. Dante Cunningham, Villanova, 2009

Gooden matched up well with his fellow Jayhawk when it came to shooting and rebounding.

Measurement comparisons
1. Jeff Pendergraph, Arizona State, 2009
2. Derrick Favors, Georgia Tech, 2010
3. Ronny Turiaf, Gonzaga, 2005

Pendergraph and Robinson aren’t exactly twins, but they had the same number of bench press reps (15), almost the same exact time in the in the lane agility drill, and similar times in the 3/4 court sprint.

Stats + measurement comparisons
1. Drew Gooden, Kansas, 2002
2. Jordan Hill, Arizona, 2009
3. Dante Cunningham, Villanova, 2009
4. David Lee, Florida, 2005
5. Kris Humphries, Minnesota, 2004

Bradley Beal, G, Florida

Statistical comparisons
1. Xavier Henry, Kansas, 2010
2. Paul George, Fresno State, 2010
3. Dahntay Jones, Duke, 2003

Henry was actually a better 3-point shooter than Beal, but they both took about the same percentage of their shots from beyond the arc. And their standard stats were pretty similar.

Measurement comparisons
1. Jrue Holiday, UCLA, 2009
2. Jordan Crawford, Xavier, 2010
3. O.J. Mayo, USC, 2008

At the time he was drafted, Holiday was the same height as Beal and nearly the same weight. Their standing reach and body fat numbers were also very similar.

Stats + measurement comparisons
1. O.J. Mayo, USC, 2008
2. Jordan Crawford, Xavier, 2010
3. Keith Bogans, Kentucky, 2003
4. Chase Budinger, Arizona, 2009
5. E’Twaun Moore, Purdue, 2011

Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, SF, Kentucky

Statistical comparisons
1. David Lee, Florida, 2005
2. Brian Scalabrine, USC, 2001
3. Jimmy Butler, Marquette, 2011

Lee compares statistically with MKG better than anybody does with any of the other three prospects on this list. They had the same true shooting percentage and very similar traditional stats (points, rebounds, steals and blocks).

Measurement comparisons
1. Tyreke Evans, Memphis, 2009
2. Carmelo Anthony, Syracuse, 2003
3. Luc Mbah a Moute, UCLA, 2008

Evans and MKG didn’t quite match up in regard to height and weight, but they had very similar scores in the lane agility drill and 3/4 court sprint. They also matched closely in standing reach and body fat. Anthony and MKG had the exact same weight and wingspan.

Stats + measurement comparisons
1. David Lee, Florida, 2005
2. Luc Mbah a Moute, UCLA, 2008
3. Devin Ebanks, West Virginia, 2010
4. Gordon Hayward, Butler, 2010
5. DeMar DeRozan, USC, 2009

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